Frist of all we calculate the Total capacity of each team.
A Position of Teams
First we calculate Tr(ICc team ranking)
Current ICC rating of India is 117 hence Tr is (Ranting /10) = 11.7
Current ICc rating of Austraia is 132 hence Tr is (Ratings/10)= 13.2
B. Batting & Bowling Power of Teams
Batting & Bowling power of teams will be calculate hereunder as per Formula.
Batting and Bowling Power India
|
S.N.
|
Name of Players
|
Batting Power (Bp)
(ICC ODI Ratings / 10+Runs in last 5 ODI /5)
|
Bowling Power(Bwp)
(ICC ODI Ratings / 10+wicktes inlast 5 ODI )
|
|
|
|
Bp
|
Bwp
|
|
1.
|
|
35.56
|
0.27
|
|
2.
|
|
32.1
|
2.33
|
|
3.
|
|
44.51
|
1.09
|
|
4.
|
|
32.93
|
7.72
|
|
5.
|
|
18.41
|
0
|
|
6.
|
|
14.6
|
2.78
|
|
7
|
|
16.2
|
10.76
|
|
8.
|
|
4.84
|
10.93
|
|
9.
|
|
9.158
|
0
|
|
10.
|
|
0
|
15.36
|
|
11
|
|
3.86
|
15.71
|
|
|
Total Bp&Bwp
|
212.168
|
66.95
|
Batting and Bowling Power Australia
|
S.N.
|
Name of Players
|
Batting Power (Bp)
(ICC ODI Ratings / 10+Runs in last 5 ODI /5)
|
Bowling Power(Bwp)
(ICC ODI Ratings / 10+wicktes inlast 5 ODI )
|
|
|
|
Bp
|
Bwp
|
|
1.
|
|
72.79
|
3.24
|
|
2.
|
|
30.76
|
0
|
|
3.
|
|
15.27
|
0
|
|
4.
|
|
17.76
|
5.37
|
|
5.
|
Clint McKay,
|
2.76
|
10.38
|
|
6.
|
|
5.9
|
2
|
|
7
|
|
5.75
|
0
|
|
8.
|
|
13.84
|
5.72
|
|
9.
|
|
21.17
|
0
|
|
10.
|
|
25.97
|
3.1
|
|
11
|
|
50.99
|
1.91
|
|
|
Total Bp&Bwp
|
262.96
|
31.72
|
C. Playing Conditions
For India
L3 - 3( India won Last 32matches out of 5)
La3- 3 (India won last 2 match against Aus out of 5)
Lg3- 5 (India won last 2 matches at margao out of 5)
Wicket c- Best batsman 66.95 (margao wicket is familier with bats so added Best
Batsman’s Bp)
Total- 77.95
For Australia
L3 - 4( Aus won Last 2 matches out of 5)
La3- 2(Aus won last 3 match against India out of 2)
Lg3- 1-(Aus won last 1 match at margao out of 5)
Wicket c- Best batsman 72.79( margao wicket is familiar with bats so added
Best Batsman’s Bp)
Total 77.79
Now
Total Capacity of India
Tr +Total Bp+Total Bwp+Total Playing condition
11.7+212.168+66.95+77.95= 301.818
Total Capacity of Australia
Tr +Total Bp+Total Bwp+Total Playing condition
13.2+262.96+31.72+72.79 =374.47
Winning percentage to India
Total Capacity of DC
--------------------------------------------------------------------×100
Total Capacity of Team DC+ Total Capacity of Team RR
301.818
-----------------------------------------------------×100
301.181+374.47
301.818
-----------------------------------------------------×100
676.288
=44.62%
Winning percentage to Australia
Total Capacity of Australia
--------------------------------------------------------------------×100
Total Capacity of Team India+ Total Capacity of Team Aus
374.47
-----------------------------------------------------×100
301.181+374.47
374.47
-----------------------------------------------------×100
676.288
=55.371%
Analysis
1. Australians have to stengthen their boweling,
2. India has to restrain white and clarck.
3. Difference between total capacity of teams is 72.652
For Indians
1. Indians have to make efforts to finish the difference 72.652. If Indian Bowlers get wicket of clarke (72.79), and white(50.99) then they make come to position to win the match.
For Australians
- Australians have to make strong bowling.
- They have to take early wicket kohli, raina and dhoni.
This way Formula will tell Road map to win for any team.
