World cup Final match one day international match between India and Silanka on 02-04-2011
Frist of all we calculate the Total capacity of each team.
A Position of Teams
First we calculate Tr(ICc team ranking)
Current ICC rating of India is 120 hence Tr is (Ranting /10) = 12.0
Current ICc rating of Sl 119 s hence Tr is (Ratings/10)= 11.9
B. Batting & Bowling Power of Teams
Batting & Bowling power of teams will be calculate hereunder as per Formula.
Batting and Bowling Power India
|
S.N.
|
Name of Players
|
Batting Power (Bp)
(ICC ODI Ratings / 10+Runs in last 5 ODI /5)
|
Bowling Power(Bwp)
(ICC ODI Ratings / 10+wicktes inlast 5 ODI )
|
|
|
|
Bp
|
Bwp
|
|
1.
|
GHAMBIR
|
107.2
|
2.4
|
|
2.
|
sehwag
|
105.4
|
29.3
|
|
3.
|
Virat Kohli
|
102.2
|
11.2
|
|
4.
|
Yuvraj Singh
|
113.1
|
57.1
|
|
5.
|
sachin
|
125.2
|
19.1
|
|
6.
|
raina
|
79.3
|
24.2
|
|
7
|
Dhoni
|
89
|
2.7
|
|
8.
|
ashwin
|
13.3
|
51.6
|
|
9.
|
patel
|
20.3
|
62.4
|
|
10.
|
harbhajan
|
26.5
|
67.4
|
|
11
|
khan
|
21.7
|
73.9
|
|
|
Total Bp&Bwp
|
803.2
|
401.3
|
Batting and Bowling Power SL
|
S.N.
|
Name of Players
|
Batting Power (Bp)
(ICC ODI Ratings / 10+Runs in last 5 ODI /5)
|
Bowling Power(Bwp)
(ICC ODI Ratings / 10+wicktes inlast 5 ODI )
|
|
|
|
Bp
|
Bwp
|
|
1.
|
tharanga
|
115.4
|
0
|
|
2.
|
dilsan
|
139.3
|
44.1
|
|
3.
|
sangakara
|
129.9
|
0
|
|
4.
|
jawardhnay
|
79.7
|
14.3
|
|
5.
|
mathews
|
67.5
|
53.9
|
|
6.
|
samveras
|
62.6
|
6.2
|
|
7
|
|
50.1
|
5.7
|
|
8.
|
herath
|
11.9
|
33.4
|
|
9.
|
malinga
|
24.6
|
69.4
|
|
10.
|
murli
|
19.4
|
72.8
|
|
11
|
mendis
|
22.3
|
67.7
|
|
|
Total Bp&Bwp
|
722.7
|
367.5
|
C. Playing Conditions
For India
L3 - 40( India won Last5matches out of 5)
La3- 30 (India won last 4 match against wi of 5)
Lg3- 20 (India won last 2 matches at channi out of 5)
Wicket c- Best batsman /Bowler 125.2 +73.9( wicket is familier with bowl so added Best
Bpbowler’s bw)
Total- 289.1
For Srilanka
L3 - 40(NZwon Last 0 matches out of 5)
La3- 30(NZwon last 0match against India out of 5)
Lg3- 20-(NZwon last 0 match at channi out of 5)
Wicket c- Best batsman 139.3+72.8(wicket is familier with bats and bowl so added Best
Batsman’s Bpbowler’s bw)
Total 302.1
Now
Total Capacity of Ind
Tr +Total Bp+Total Bwp+Total Playing condition
12.0 +803.1+401.3+289.1= 1505.6
Total Capacity of Pak
Tr +Total Bp+Total Bwp+Total Playing condition
11.9+722.7+367.5+302.1 =1404.2
Winning percentage to India
Total Capacity of Ind
--------------------------------------------------------------------×100
Total Capacity of Team Ind+ Total Capacity of Team Sl
1505.6
-----------------------------------------------------×100
1505.6+1404.2
1505.6
-----------------------------------------------------×100
2909.8
=51.74%
Winning percentage to SL
Total Capacity of SL
--------------------------------------------------------------------×100
Total Capacity of Team SL+ Total Capacity of Team Ind
1404.2
-----------------------------------------------------×100
2909.8
=48.25%
Analysis
1 Indians have chance to win
2. Srilanka needs extra efforts |
